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Pre-market

Nifty Expiry Week, Sensex at Final Settlement — OI Building at Extremes

Pre-market readout

Pre-market readout — metric, value and reading
MetricValueRead
India VIX15.19Elevated premium
GIFT Nifty Gap (Nifty expected to open)Not availableNot available
Nifty Expiry4 daysIdeal window
Sensex Expiry0 daysHigh gamma risk
Nifty 5D Avg Move268.89 ptsSupport 23000 · Resistance 25000
Sensex 5D Avg Move806.96 ptsSupport 76000 · Resistance 80000

What the option chain shows

Wednesday's session left both indices in positive territory, with Nifty climbing 148.82 points (0.625%) and Sensex advancing 381.52 points (0.496%). The momentum carried modest gains across the benchmark pair, though the rate of ascent differed — Nifty's percentage move outpaced Sensex's by roughly 13 basis points, reflecting sector-level divergence within the broad market.

India VIX closed at 15.19, maintaining a settled temperament as the week enters its final stretch. This calm backdrop sits against a critical structural difference: Sensex options expire today (Thursday), marking final settlement, while Nifty still carries four trading days to expiry. That timing mismatch matters for how the chains are likely to behave through the session.

Bias and readiness

Both indices are seeing open-interest accumulation at their extreme strike levels. Nifty's resistance tier at 25,000 and support tier at 23,000 are both recording Addition — fresh contracts being layered in rather than unwound. Sensex mirrors this pattern, with 80,000 resistance and 76,000 support both showing Addition activity. This dual-end building suggests participants are positioning for wider swings rather than consolidation, hedging both directions ahead of key economic or global catalysts.

Chart pivots frame the near-term range tightly. Nifty's support sits at 23,784.3 with resistance at 24,048.75 — a 264-point band that brackets intraday movement. Sensex's equivalent window spans 76,805.49 to 77,596.68, a 791-point corridor. The 5-day average moves stand at 268.89 for Nifty and 806.96 for Sensex, meaning recent daily swings are tracking very close to these technical levels.

Levels to watch

With Sensex settling today and Nifty still four days out, the expiry calendar itself creates an asymmetry in rollover dynamics. Flows into Friday and beyond will likely concentrate on Nifty, while Sensex participants face immediate settlement decisions. The OI addition across both indices at their furthest strikes suggests market makers and hedgers are not expecting a sharp collapse into these extremes — instead, they're bracing for tested boundaries. Watch whether Wednesday's directional bias carries through the opening bell and whether the OI additions hold or begin unwinding into profit-taking.

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