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Pre-market

Nifty Gap-Down 123 Points; Sensex Expiry in 1 Day Shifts Focus

Pre-market readout

Pre-market readout — metric, value and reading
MetricValueRead
India VIX15.72Elevated premium
GIFT Nifty Gap (Nifty expected to open)−0.52% (-123.85 pts)Normal Gap Down
Nifty Expiry5 daysLower gamma risk
Sensex Expiry1 dayHigh gamma risk
Nifty 5D Avg Move272.07 ptsSupport 23000 · Resistance 24000
Sensex 5D Avg Move833.09 ptsSupport 75000 · Resistance 78000

What the option chain shows

GIFT Nifty is trading at −0.52% (−123.85 points) in the pre-market window, signalling a lower open after Tuesday's strong rally. That prior session lifted Nifty by 364.36 points (+1.554%) and Sensex by 1,206.09 points (+1.593%), a coordinated move that now faces a modest pullback heading into Wednesday's cash open.

India VIX sits at 15.72, remaining subdued and consistent with the low-volatility environment that has characterised the recent run. The 5-day average daily move stands at 272 points for Nifty and 833 for Sensex, underscoring that while swings exist, they remain moderate relative to longer-term ranges.

Bias and readiness

Nifty's chart support lies at 23,592.15 with resistance at 23,920.20—a band of roughly 328 points that will likely anchor intraday price discovery. Sensex charts show support at 76,328.44 and resistance at 77,212.55, a similarly tight 884-point range. The gap-down open suggests traders may probe toward those support levels early, though the scale of the gap (less than 0.6%) does not signal panic or a structural shift.

Options positioning reveals accumulation across both indices. Nifty's OI support at 23,000 and resistance at 24,000 both show Addition activity, while Sensex mirrors this pattern at 75,000 and 78,000 strikes, also both in Addition mode. This two-sided buildup—rather than concentration at a single level—suggests market participants are hedging and positioning ahead of the imminent expiry window.

Levels to watch

Sensex enters its final day of expiry (1 day remaining), which historically can inject choppiness and option-driven repricing as positions roll and close out. Nifty, with 5 days to go, affords more breathing room for the broader narrative to play out.

The pre-market setup hints at consolidation rather than capitulation. Tuesday's gains have drawn profit-taking interest, but the addition of OI at both support and resistance strikes—alongside subdued volatility—points to a market that is digesting rather than reversing. Watch for how the cash open respects or penetrates chart support; that decision will likely set the tone for the session's momentum.

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