Back to MarketCue
MarketCue

Nifty and Sensex weekly analysis: 12–16 October 2026

Week 42 · Published by MarketCue · Updated

NIFTY 5023,146.15+625.70 · +2.78%2nd straight weekly gain · range 861 pts
SENSEX74,729.27+2,256.94 · +3.11%
Broader market · NIFTY 500+1.84%Midcap 150 +0.62% · Smallcap 250 +0.36%
SectorsIT +11.72%Weakest: Healthcare −1.08%
FII / DII cash · ₹ crore−8,991 / +7,813Week · Oct: −48,769 / +48,168
Next NIFTY expiryMon 19 OctTue 20 holiday (Dussehra) · straddle 22,961–23,331

Week in one paragraph

NIFTY 50 gained 2.78% to 23,146 in the week of 12–16 October, its second straight weekly rise, and SENSEX added 3.11%. Large caps did most of the work: the NIFTY 500 rose 1.84%, while midcaps and smallcaps edged up 0.62% and 0.36%. IT led every sector with an 11.72% jump, Media followed at 6.11%, and Healthcare slipped 1.08%. FIIs sold a net ₹10,156 crore over the four sessions reported, more than matched by ₹11,474 crore of DII buying, and India VIX eased 8.2% to 14.03. On policy, SEBI revised its closing auction rules and moved derivatives expiry settlement back to a VWAP method, while the RBI stepped in to steady the rupee, which posted its largest gain in six months. Abroad, a hot US inflation print revived talk of Fed rate hikes. NIFTY’s next expiry falls on Monday because of the Dussehra holiday.

Written by AI from the figures and headlines on this page.

How the week moved · NIFTY

MonTueWedThuFri

Prior-week high 22,776

3 up days, 2 down. Closed 3.7 points below the weekly high. Above the prior-week high of 22,776.

FII / DII cash flow · ₹ cr

DayFII · DII
Mon 12−1,708 · +3,045
Tue 13−1,305 · +2,439
Wed 14−1,857 · +2,670
Thu 15−5,285 · +3,319
Fri 16+1,166 · −3,661

Prior week: FII −30,294, DII +30,313.

October so far · 11 sessions

FII−48,769
DII+48,168
Net−601

Volatility and expiry

India VIX · Fri 16 09:30 reading14.03 −8.18%
NIFTY average daily range327 pts · 1.41%
Widest dayTue 13 · 434 pts
NIFTY straddle-implied range to Mon 1922,961–23,331 · ±0.80%
SENSEX straddle-implied range to Thu 2273,791–75,667 · ±1.26%
NIFTY in the closing auction, Tue 13 expiry · 15:14 to close+22 pts
SENSEX in the closing auction, Thu 15 expiry · 15:14 to close+356 pts

NIFTY expiry falls on Monday 19 Oct, a day earlier than the usual Tuesday; Tuesday 20 Oct is a market holiday (Dussehra).

NIFTY against its moving averages

21-day EMA22,909 above by 1.04%
50-day EMA23,314 below by 0.72%
100-day EMA23,656 below by 2.15%
200-day SMA24,186 below by 4.30%

Daily closes; values as of the week's last session.

Biggest NIFTY days this financial year

Gains

#1 8 Apr+882 · +3.81%
#2 12 Jun+445 · +1.92%
#3 3 Aug+408 · +1.67%
#4 15 Apr+393 · +1.65%
#5 15 Oct+375 · +1.66%

Falls

#1 8 Jul−459 · −1.89%
#2 12 May−390 · −1.64%
#3 24 Sept−384 · −1.64%
#4 8 Oct−371 · −1.64%
#5 28 Sept−360 · −1.56%

This week: 15 Oct was the 5th-biggest gain; 13 Oct was the 6th-biggest gain. Points, from 1 Apr.

Broad market

NIFTY 5023,146.15 +2.78%
NIFTY Next 5068,988.60 +1.21%
NIFTY 10024,133.10 +2.49%
NIFTY 50022,270.05 +1.84%
NIFTY Midcap 15021,736.75 +0.62%
NIFTY Midcap Select13,717.40 +0.93%
NIFTY Smallcap 25017,637.65 +0.36%
NIFTY Microcap 25025,735.85 +0.78%

Week change, NSE closing values.

Sectors, best to worst

IT+11.72%
Media+6.11%
Services Sector+4.78%
Auto+3.65%
Realty+2.74%
India Defence+2.26%
Oil & Gas+2.04%
Infrastructure+1.76%
Private Bank+1.76%
Financial Services+1.68%
Chemicals+1.41%
Capital Markets+1.18%
Energy+1.13%
Metal+1.10%
Bank+1.06%
Consumer Durables+0.77%
PSU Bank−0.39%
FMCG−0.55%
Pharma−0.69%
Healthcare−1.08%

Options positioning at the week's close

NIFTY · expiry Mon 19 Oct

PCR0.90
Most call OI23,500 · 23,100 · 23,200
Most put OI23,000 · 22,700 · 22,900
ATM straddle · IV₹185 · 11.0

SENSEX · expiry Thu 22 Oct

PCR0.84
Most call OI75,000 · 74,500 · 74,700
Most put OI74,000 · 74,500 · 74,700
ATM straddle · IV₹938 · 12.3

Global

USD/INR94.52 −2.3%
US 10-year yield5.10% −15 bps
Gold (COMEX, $/oz)4,181 −1.2%
WTI crude ($/bbl)101.41 +12.6%
US VIX19.99 +34.7%
Silver (COMEX, $/oz)56.99 −6.1%
Natural gas (NYMEX, $/MMBtu)3.12 −3.2%
NIFTY futures basis−33 pts

Mutual fund flows · September 2026

Equity schemes+38,307
Hybrid schemes−457
Debt schemes−1,83,156
All schemes−1,33,376

Net inflow, ₹ crore, from AMFI's monthly report. Debt flows swing with quarter-end redemptions.

Next week

Expiries and holidays

Mon 19 OctNIFTY weekly expiry
Thu 22 OctSENSEX weekly expiry
Tue 20 OctMarket holiday · Dussehra

NIFTY expiry falls on Monday 19 Oct, a day earlier than the usual Tuesday; Tuesday 20 Oct is a market holiday (Dussehra).

NIFTY 50 results

Sat 17 OctAxis Bank
Sat 17 OctHDFC Bank
Sat 17 OctICICI Bank
Mon 19 OctBajaj Finance
Mon 19 OctUltraTech Cement
Wed 21 OctETERNAL
Fri 23 OctDr. Reddy's Laboratories
Fri 23 OctInfosys
Fri 23 OctJSW Steel
Fri 23 OctShriram Finance

News and updates

33 of 60 stories

SEBI

Thu 15Sebi revises CAS rules, changes derivatives expiry settlement methodologySEBI · 9 sources
Tue 13Sebi extends IPO size flexibility by six months to March 2027SEBI · 3 sources
Wed 14Sebi confirms interim curbs on Rajesh Exports, says financial disclosure concerns remain unresolvedSEBI · 2 sources
Mon 12Singularity AMC pays over Rs 40 lakh to settle AIF rule violation case with SebiSEBI
Mon 12Indian Gas Exchange secures Sebi's nod to float IPOSEBI
Tue 13Sebi proposes review of framework for monitoring utilization of issue proceedsSEBI
Wed 14SEBI’s PolicyTwin Prototype Wins First Place at the C:>DIR Global ‘Agentic Regulator’ HackathonSEBI
Wed 14SEBI Teams win at IOSCO TechSprint 2026 on Investor Education in the Age of Artificial Intelligence (AI)SEBI
Wed 14Sebi proposes Rs 50,000 fine for firms not cooperating with monitoring agenciesSEBI
Wed 14Sebi bars Rajesh Mehta from trading in Rajesh Exports, keeps curbs in placeSEBI
Wed 14IPO ahead! Paramotor Digital Technology files updated draft papers with Sebi for Rs 1,000 crore issueSEBI
Thu 15Sebi writes to IRDAI to include investors' insurance policy details in consolidated account statementSEBI
Thu 15Sebi plans to ease many SME IPO rules, lower application amountSEBI
Fri 16Mint Explainer| How Sebi’s changes to bonds could help NBFCsSEBI

RBI and government

Mon 12India 10-year bond yield hits 3-year high on RBI liquidity tighteningRBI · 2 sources
Mon 12RBI introduces measures to supply dollars and curb currency speculationRBI · 2 sources
Tue 13RBI intervenes to curb rupee slide; currency rallies sharplyRBI · 3 sources
Wed 14India WPI inflation accelerates to 11.39% in September · 2 sources
Wed 14RBI introduces forex measures to stabilize rupee, lifting it 150 paiseRBI · 2 sources

India macro

Tue 13IMF Raises India's FY27 GDP Growth Forecast To 7%, Cuts China's 2026 Outlook · 4 sources
Mon 12India’s retail inflation jumps to 5.54% in September, above estimates · 3 sources
Tue 13PM Modi's free trade push could lead to $140 billion GDP gain for India
Thu 15IMF applauds India’s GDP data revamp, says country entered energy shock with strong fundamentals
Fri 16India's GDP to grow 7.1-7.3% in FY27 as private investment gains momentum: Deloitte

Global

Thu 15Indian markets open cautiously ahead of US inflation data · 2 sources
Mon 12Oil falls on Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire hopes boosting supply · 2 sources
Thu 15Hot US inflation data revives Fed rate hike expectations · 4 sources
Thu 15Oil prices fall despite Middle East tensions and Hormuz attacks · 2 sources
Fri 16US considers easing sanctions on global shadow fleet amid oil volatility · 2 sources

Flows and currency

Fri 16Nifty crosses 23,000 as domestic investors offset foreign selling · 2 sources
Tue 13Rupee posts largest gain in six months amid FII outflows · 2 sources

Earnings

Wed 14Canara Bank Q2 Net Profit Rises 8.4% YoY; NII Up 20% · 6 sources
Mon 12HCL Tech Q2 FY27 results expected today with mixed outlook · 4 sources

Questions about this week

How did Nifty perform in the week of 12–16 October 2026?
NIFTY 50 rose 2.78% (626 points) to close at 23,146.15 in the week of 12–16 October 2026, its 2nd straight weekly gain. Its range for the week was 861 points, against 596 the week before.
How did Sensex perform in the week of 12–16 October 2026?
SENSEX rose 3.11% (2,257 points) to close at 74,729.27 in the week of 12–16 October 2026.
Which sectors gained and fell the most in the week of 12–16 October 2026?
Among NSE sector indices, NIFTY IT gained the most at +11.72%, and NIFTY Healthcare was the weakest at −1.08%.
What were FII and DII flows in the week of 12–16 October 2026?
Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were net sellers of ₹8,991 crore in Indian equities' cash market over the week, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers of ₹7,813 crore. In October so far, FIIs have sold ₹48,769 crore net and DIIs have bought ₹48,168 crore.
What was India VIX in the week of 12–16 October 2026?
India VIX read 14.03 on Fri 16 Oct at 09:30 IST (down 8.2% from a week earlier); NIFTY's average daily range for the week was 327 points.
When is the next Nifty expiry after the week of 12–16 October 2026?
The next NIFTY weekly options expiry is Monday, 19 October 2026 (Tuesday, 20 October 2026 is a market holiday, Dussehra); the at-the-money straddle at the week's close priced a range of 22,961 to 23,331 (±0.80%) to that expiry.
What did SEBI announce in the week of 12–16 October 2026?
SEBI headlines that week: "Sebi revises CAS rules, changes derivatives expiry settlement methodology" (Thu 15 Oct); "Sebi extends IPO size flexibility by six months to March 2027" (Tue 13 Oct); "Sebi confirms interim curbs on Rajesh Exports, says financial disclosure concerns remain unresolved" (Wed 14 Oct).
What did the RBI and the government announce in the week of 12–16 October 2026?
RBI and government headlines that week: "India 10-year bond yield hits 3-year high on RBI liquidity tightening" (Mon 12 Oct); "RBI introduces measures to supply dollars and curb currency speculation" (Mon 12 Oct); "RBI intervenes to curb rupee slide; currency rallies sharply" (Tue 13 Oct).

How this page is built

Index closes, sector indices, the trading-holiday list and the results calendar come from NSE; SENSEX from BSE; FII and DII cash flows from NSE's daily provisional data; mutual fund flows from AMFI's monthly report; options positioning, the straddle and moving averages from MarketCue's own capture of NSE option chains and 1-minute NIFTY data; global markets from exchange quotes; news from Economic Times, Mint, NDTV Profit, SEBI and the RBI. Every number is recomputed from those sources; the summary paragraph is written by AI from the figures on this page. The page describes the week and does not give views on what comes next.

A summary of last week's market data and news. It isn't a recommendation to buy or sell any security. MarketCue isn't registered with SEBI as an investment adviser or research analyst.