Back to MarketCue
MarketCue

Nifty and Sensex weekly analysis: 28–2 October 2026

Week 40 · Published by MarketCue · Updated

NIFTY 5022,421.95−718.55 · −3.11%8th straight weekly fall · range 863 pts
SENSEX71,909.70−1,986.04 · −2.69%
NIFTY week range863 pts3.9% · prior 468
FII / DII cash · ₹ crore−34,966 / +33,4554 of 5 sessions · Oct: −9,484 / +10,042
Next NIFTY expiryTue 6 Octstraddle 22,161–22,683

How the week moved · NIFTY

MonTueWedThuFri

Prior-week high 23,489

1 up day, 4 down. Closed 658 points below the weekly high of 23,080. Below the prior-week low of 23,021.

FII / DII cash flow · ₹ cr

DayFII · DII
Mon 28−5,353 · +5,189
Tue 29−9,980 · +6,953
Wed 30−10,148 · +11,272
Thu 1−9,484 · +10,042
Fri 2— · —

NSE publishes FII/DII figures after the close; a missing day appears with the next session's update.

Prior week: FII −11,490, DII +16,398.

October so far · 1 sessions

FII−9,484
DII+10,042
Net+558

Volatility and expiry

India VIX · Fri 2 09:30 reading14.46 +13.95%
NIFTY average daily range277 pts · 1.24%
Widest dayThu 1 · 393 pts
NIFTY straddle-implied range to Tue 622,161–22,683 · ±1.16%
SENSEX straddle-implied range to Thu 870,762–73,058 · ±1.60%
NIFTY in the closing auction, Tue 29 expiry · 15:14 to close+32 pts
SENSEX in the closing auction, Thu 1 expiry · 15:14 to close−99 pts

NIFTY against its moving averages

21-day EMA23,245 below by 3.54%
50-day EMA23,630 below by 5.11%
100-day EMA23,876 below by 6.09%
200-day SMA24,353 below by 7.93%

Daily closes; values as of the week's last session.

Biggest NIFTY days this financial year

Gains

#1 8 Apr+882 · +3.81%
#2 12 Jun+445 · +1.92%
#3 3 Aug+408 · +1.67%
#4 15 Apr+393 · +1.65%
#5 1 Apr+324 · +1.45%

Falls

#1 8 Jul−459 · −1.89%
#2 12 May−390 · −1.64%
#3 24 Sept−384 · −1.64%
#4 28 Sept−360 · −1.56%
#5 11 May−359 · −1.49%

This week: 28 Sept was the 4th-biggest fall. Points, from 1 Apr.

Options positioning at the week's close

NIFTY · expiry Tue 6 Oct

PCR0.96
Most call OI22,700 · 22,800 · 22,900
Most put OI22,000 · 22,300 · 22,200
ATM straddle · IV₹261 · 12.3

SENSEX · expiry Thu 8 Oct

PCR0.92
Most call OI72,500 · 72,000 · 72,400
Most put OI72,000 · 72,500 · 71,000
ATM straddle · IV₹1,148 · 14.6

Global

USD/INR96.22 +0.1%
US 10-year yield5.28% +9 bps
Gold (COMEX, $/oz)4,162 −1.8%
WTI crude ($/bbl)91.11 −2.7%
US VIX15.31 +3.0%

Next week

Expiries and holidays

Tue 6 OctNIFTY weekly expiry
Thu 8 OctSENSEX weekly expiry

NIFTY 50 results

The results calendar is added after Friday's close.

News and updates

36 of 64 stories

SEBI

Tue 29Nifty monthly expiry meets CAS today: Why the last 30 minutes of the Tuesday trading session could be most importantSEBI · 2 sources
Tue 29Adani stocks today: Adani Power, Adani Energy, Adani Enterprises slip after ₹1.48 crore SEBI settlementSEBI
Mon 28Sebi drops minimum public shareholding norms violation case against Vinod Adani and 4 Adani group companiesSEBI · 3 sources
Thu 1NSE gets Sebi nod to launch corporate bond index futuresSEBI · 2 sources
Mon 28Tonbo Imaging India gets SEBI nod for IPO; defence electronics maker offers over 1.8 crore sharesSEBI
Mon 28IPO express picks up steam: Anmol Industries, Koolking Industries, 5 other firms file draft papers with SebiSEBI
Tue 29Talent crunch may hamper Sebi’s PMS revampSEBI
Tue 29Sebi clears Gautam, Vinod Adani of MPS norm violationSEBI
Tue 29Lloyds Enterprises settles listing rule violations case with SebiSEBI
Wed 30Indian markets are not vulnerable: Sebi chief Tuhin Kanta Pandey remains optimistic even as Sensex, Nifty bleedSEBI
Wed 30Can NSE shares trade on its own platform? Sebi chief says no panel considering self-trading in exchange sharesSEBI
Thu 1Sebi, RBI join hands to make onboarding easier for FPIsSEBI
Thu 1Growpital case: Sebi to refund money directly to investors for first timeSEBI
Thu 1Gas maker Inox Air Products files IPO papers with Sebi, public issue to entirely comprise OFSSEBI
Thu 1IPO Rush: Over 50 firms file DRHPs ahead of Sebi deadlineSEBI
Thu 1Traffic safety solutions provider Kataline files IPO papers with SebiSEBI
Thu 1Carlsberg India IPO gets Sebi approval along with three other public offers. Check detailsSEBI
Thu 1Sebi asks stock brokers to display investor warnings on apps and websitesSEBI
Thu 1Inox Clean Energy IPO papers kept in abeyance by SebiSEBI
Thu 1Sebi revamps Document Number Verification System, adds subject matter as mandatory fieldSEBI
Fri 2Danish brewing giant Carlsberg’s India arm, 3 others get Sebi nod to float IPOsSEBI
Fri 2Carlsberg India unit, 3 other firms get Sebi nod to proceed with IPO plansSEBI

RBI and government

Mon 28RBI reports zero money market activity on September 26-27, 2026RBI · 3 sources
Fri 2Indian markets closed for Gandhi Jayanti after sharp selloff · 2 sources
Thu 1RBI mandates reporting of international credit card transactions from October 1RBI · 2 sources

India macro

Wed 30India’s International Investment Position (IIP), June 2026
Tue 29India's IIP growth may remain in single digits despite festive demand as weak monsoon, global risks weigh: Report
Thu 1India factory activity rebounds sharply in September as demand revives, PMI hits 7-month high · 2 sources

Global

Mon 28Indian markets set for weak opening on geopolitical tensions, FPI outflows · 4 sources
Fri 2Modi-Trump Call on Trade Deal; US Says Agreement Not Imminent · 2 sources
Mon 28Trump Rejects Iranian Proposal to Reopen Hormuz Strait · 3 sources
Mon 28Trump Considering Diesel Export Ban Amid Global Supply Crunch · 2 sources
Wed 30Oil climbs after Trump denies easing Iran sanctions · 3 sources

Flows and currency

Thu 1Indian equities signal weak opening amid FII outflows and global uncertainty · 2 sources
Wed 30Indian equities track US yields, oil and Wall Street moves · 2 sources
Wed 30BSE shares drop 4% as Goldman Sachs, BNP Paribas sell stake · 2 sources

Questions about this week

How did Nifty perform in the week of 28–2 October 2026?
NIFTY 50 fell 3.11% (719 points) to close at 22,421.95 in the week of 28–2 October 2026, its 8th straight weekly fall. Its range for the week was 863 points, against 468 the week before.
How did Sensex perform in the week of 28–2 October 2026?
SENSEX fell 2.69% (1,986 points) to close at 71,909.70 in the week of 28–2 October 2026.
What were FII and DII flows in the week of 28–2 October 2026?
Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were net sellers of ₹34,966 crore in Indian equities' cash market over the 4 sessions reported so far, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers of ₹33,455 crore. In October so far, FIIs have sold ₹9,484 crore net and DIIs have bought ₹10,042 crore.
What was India VIX in the week of 28–2 October 2026?
India VIX read 14.46 on Fri 2 Oct at 09:30 IST (up 13.9% from a week earlier); NIFTY's average daily range for the week was 277 points.
When is the next Nifty expiry after the week of 28–2 October 2026?
The next NIFTY weekly options expiry is Tuesday, 6 October 2026; the at-the-money straddle at the week's close priced a range of 22,161 to 22,683 (±1.16%) to that expiry.
What did SEBI announce in the week of 28–2 October 2026?
SEBI headlines that week: "Nifty monthly expiry meets CAS today: Why the last 30 minutes of the Tuesday trading session could be most important" (Tue 29 Sept); "Adani stocks today: Adani Power, Adani Energy, Adani Enterprises slip after ₹1.48 crore SEBI settlement" (Tue 29 Sept); "Sebi drops minimum public shareholding norms violation case against Vinod Adani and 4 Adani group companies" (Mon 28 Sept).
What did the RBI and the government announce in the week of 28–2 October 2026?
RBI and government headlines that week: "RBI reports zero money market activity on September 26-27, 2026" (Mon 28 Sept); "Indian markets closed for Gandhi Jayanti after sharp selloff" (Fri 2 Oct); "RBI mandates reporting of international credit card transactions from October 1" (Thu 1 Oct).

How this page is built

Index closes, sector indices, the trading-holiday list and the results calendar come from NSE; SENSEX from BSE; FII and DII cash flows from NSE's daily provisional data; mutual fund flows from AMFI's monthly report; options positioning, the straddle and moving averages from MarketCue's own capture of NSE option chains and 1-minute NIFTY data; global markets from exchange quotes; news from Economic Times, Mint, NDTV Profit, SEBI and the RBI. Every number is recomputed from those sources; the summary paragraph is written by AI from the figures on this page. The page describes the week and does not give views on what comes next.

A summary of last week's market data and news. It isn't a recommendation to buy or sell any security. MarketCue isn't registered with SEBI as an investment adviser or research analyst.